Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.341325 12.166253 14.168164 16.520390 19.201374 22.154537 25.646101
2025-04-13 6.699797 8.990317 11.787484 15.421761 19.982182 25.476010 32.551107
2025-04-20 5.343950 7.945067 11.393394 16.221771 22.717357 31.052333 42.437563
2025-04-27 4.527562 7.335076 11.318171 17.242747 25.664061 37.012411 53.226119
2025-05-04 3.776636 6.621334 10.913361 17.650454 27.699223 41.824085 62.790047
2025-05-11 3.103891 5.869097 10.291073 17.588027 28.961927 45.569248 71.073140
2025-05-18 2.529643 5.149182 9.579712 17.245690 29.696650 48.525698 78.353292
2025-05-25 2.069656 4.526916 8.913650 16.853063 30.254308 51.188732 85.307940
2025-06-01 1.698751 3.988063 8.295388 16.434411 30.682014 53.624269 92.014309
2025-06-08 1.342728 3.397617 7.482360 15.551549 30.210250 54.546907 96.355745
2025-06-15 1.223619 3.278699 7.537026 16.232494 32.466404 60.026434 108.284162
2025-06-22 1.087103 3.091123 7.424508 16.575914 34.136766 64.620495 119.015830
2025-06-29 0.877034 2.697756 6.860576 16.041899 34.288904 66.868440 126.400184
2025-07-06 0.677322 2.276387 6.165950 15.161611 33.729076 67.893008 131.909595
2025-07-13 0.620050 2.219008 6.280539 15.986805 36.545096 75.149492 148.718682
2025-07-20 0.579068 2.196890 6.473311 17.002207 39.828050 83.478131 167.923295
2025-07-27 0.511512 2.074992 6.398796 17.406352 41.895894 89.679200 183.660759
2025-08-03 0.433541 1.894384 6.139422 17.344913 42.976782 94.071469 196.338898
2025-08-10 0.358024 1.694418 5.786930 17.006704 43.419694 97.242382 206.910867
2025-08-17 0.293876 1.509859 5.436925 16.618781 43.702477 100.097340 217.028078
2025-08-24 0.240125 1.342260 5.098248 16.205155 43.874622 102.722837 226.832135
2025-08-31 0.185376 1.143365 4.615785 15.332946 42.885093 102.878216 231.797327
2025-09-07 0.171537 1.122274 4.696226 16.005668 45.614645 110.963538 252.905498